Automation, Education, Unemployment: A Scenario Analysis
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.12775/SPI.2017.1.001Keywords
technological unemployment, automated society, universal basic income, humanities education, social workAbstract
The article proposes a short term scenario analysis concerning the possible relations between automation, education, and unemployment. According to the author, the scenario analysis elaborated by the McKinsey Global Institute in 2013 underestimates the problem of technological unemployment and proposes an education model which is inadequate to face the challenges of 21st century disruptive technologies. New technological advances—as the automation of knowledge work—will also affect the jobs of highly educated workers. Therefore, policy makers will not avert the scenario of massive unemployment only by extending the study of math, science, and engineering. A better solution could be the establishment of a universal basic income, and the elaboration of an education model capable of stimulating creativity and the sense of belonging to a community.
References
Brynjolfsson E., McAfee A., Race Against the Machine: How the Digital Revolution is Accelerating Innovation, Driving Productivity, and Irreversibly Transforming Employment and the Economy, Digital Frontier Press Lexington, Lexington (MA) 2011.
Campa R., “La ‘Storia filosofica dei secoli futuri’ di Ippolito Nievo come caso esemplare di letteratura dell’immaginario sociale: un esercizio di critica sociologica”, Romanica Cracoviensia 2004, vol. 4, pp. 29–42.
Campa R., “Considerazioni sulla terza rivoluzione industriale”, Il pensiero economico moderno 2007, vol. 27, no. 3, pp. 51–72.
Campa R., “Workers and Automata: A Sociological Analysis of the Italian Case”, Journal of Evolution and Technology 2014, vol. 24, no. 1, pp. 70–85.
Campa R., “Technological Growth and Unemployment: A Global Scenario Analysis”, Journal of Evolution and Technology 2014, vol. 24, no. 1, pp. 86–103.
Campa R., Humans and Automata: A Social Study of Robotics, Peter Lang, Frankfurt am Main 2015.
Campa R., “Non solo veicoli autonomi. Passato, presente e futuro della disoccupazione tecnologica”, in: Segnali dal futuro, eds. F. Verso, R. Paura, Italian Institute for the Future, Napoli 2016, pp. 97–114.
Ford M., Rise of the Robots: Technology and the Threat of a Jobless Future, Basic Books, New York 2015.
Kela, “Ministry of Social Affairs and Health Request Opinions on a Basic Income Experiment”, available at: .
Krugman P., “Sympathy for the Luddites”, The New York Times, 13th June, 2013.
Manyika J. et al., Disruptive Technologies: Advances That Will Transform Life, Business, and the Global Economy, McKinsey Global Institute 2016.
Moravec H., Robot: Mere Machine to Transcendent Mind, Oxford University Press, Oxford 1999.
Ricardo D., On the Principles of Political Economy and Taxation, third edition, Batoche Books, Kitchener 2004 [1821].
Sandhu S., “Finland to Consider Introducing Universal Basic Income in 2017”, Independent, 1st April, 2016.
Stone J., “British Parliament to Consider Motion on Universal Basic Income”, Independent, 20th January, 2016.
Wessel D., “The Typical Male U.S. Worker Earned Less in 2014 Than in 1973”, The Wall Street Journal, 18th September, 2015.
Wladawsky-Berger I., “Technological Unemployment and the Future of Work”, Wall Street Journal, 6th November, 2015.
Worstall T., “Finally, Someone Does Something Sensible: Finland to Bring in a Universal Basic Income”, Forbes, 6th December, 2015.
Downloads
Published
How to Cite
Issue
Section
License
By submitting an article, the author declares that:
they are the author of the article (hereinafter referred to as the Work) and:
- is entitled to exclusive and unlimited copyright to the Work,
- is entitled to dispose of the copyrights to the Work.
The Author grants the Jesuit University Ignatianum in Cracow a free, non-exclusive, territorially unlimited license to use the Work in the following fields of exploitation:
- publishing the Work in paper, digital or magnetic form;
- multiplying the work by any method, without limiting the number of editions or copies;
- distribution of the work and its copies in any form, including marketing, sales, lending, and lease;
- placing the work in a computer memory;
- distribution of the work in information networks, including the Internet;
- public performance, exhibition, display, reproduction, broadcasting and re-broadcasting, as well as making the Work available to the public in such a manner that everyone could have access to it at a time and place chosen by themselves;
- within the scope of dependent rights to the Work, covering, in particular, the right to make necessary changes to the Work, resulting from editorial and methodical preparation, as well as to make translations of the Work into other languages.
The license right shall be transferred the moment of transfer of the Work to the Jesuit University Ignatianum in Cracow. The Jesuit University Ignatianum in Cracow is entitled to grant sub-licenses to the Work in terms of the right granted. The license shall be limited in time for a period of 15 years from the date it is granted.
Stats
Number of views and downloads: 688
Number of citations: 0