Casuality analysis between polish, U.S. and Eurocurrency short-term interest rates
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.12775/AUNC_ECON.2009.042Keywords
interest rates, Granger causality, Poland, U.S., eurocurrency.Abstract
The main objective for this paper is to study the causal link between Polish, U.S. and Eurocurrency short-term interest rates. The paper studies the direction of causality between two variables, based on Toda and Yamamoto’s Granger test which allows Granger test in an integrated system. The paper employes the one-, three- and six-month interest rates of Poland, U.S. and Eurocurrency market and tests the weekly versions of these series. The studied period is 01.01.2003–22.07.2008. The findings indicate that the eurocurrency interest rate is the Granger cause of the Polish interest rate and not vice versa. Further the eurocurrency interest rate is the Granger cause of the U.S. interest rate; there is the causal interaction between three-month rates only.
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