Effects of NAO on the climatic water budget at the Polish southern Baltic coast
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.1515/bgeo-2016-0011Keywords
Key words, North Atlantic Oscillation Index, Standardized Precipitation Evaporation Index, southern seashore of the Baltic Sea, correlationAbstract
Abstract: Effects of the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) on the Standardized Precipitation-Evaporation Index (SPEI), a metric of the climate-dependent water budget, in the Polish part of the southern Baltic coastal areas were analysed. The analyses were based on monthly NAO index values calculated by P.D. Jones, T. Jonsson, and D. Wheeler for 1951-2010 and on monthly temperatures and sums of precipitation in Szczecin, Ustka, and Elbląg used to calculate SPEI.
No strong effects of NAO on the water budget could be demonstrated. Intensified air mass advection from the west was found to slightly reduce SPEI in the Polish coastal zone. In winter (particularly in February), the reduction was caused by the temperature increase during air mass advection from the west, which increases evaporation. In summer (mainly in August), the effect was due to the decreased sum of precipitation, the reduction, however, not being significant. Therefore, NAO effects on the water budget are considered weak and irregular.
References
FOLLAND CH., KNIGHT J., LINDERHOLM H., FEREDAY D., INESON S. and HURRELL J.,2009, The summer North Atlantic Oscillation: past, present, and future, Journal of Climate, 22, 1082-1103.
GIRJATOWICZ J.P., 2007, Catalogue of ice cover and temperature conditions of the Polish coast (Katalog zlodzenia i warunków termicznych polskiego wybrzeża), University of Szczecin, Szczecin (in Polish).
GIRJATOWICZ J.P., ŚWIĄTEK M. and OLECHWIR T., 2011, Katalog cyrkulacji i opadów atmosferycznych na polskim wybrzeżu Bałtyku (Catalogue of circulation and precipitation on the Polish Baltic coast), University of Szczecin, Szczecin (in Polish).
HURRELL J. and DESER C., 2010, North Atlantic climate variability: the role if the North Atlantic Oscillation, Journal of Marine Systems, 79, 231-244.
HURRELL J.W., 1995, Decadal trends in the North Atlantic oscillation: regional temperatures and precipitation, Science, 269, 676-679.
HURRELL J. and van LOON H., 1997, Decadal variations in climate associated with North Atlantic Oscillation, Climate Change, 36, 3-4, 301-326.
JONES P.D., JONSSON T. and WHEELER D., 1997, Extension to the North Atlantic Oscillation using early instrumental pressure observations from Gibraltar and south-west Iceland, International Journal of Climatology, 17, 1433-1450.
KACZMAREK Z., 2003, The impact climate variability on flood risk in Poland, Risk Analysis, 23, 559-566.
KAPALA A., MÄCHEL H. and FLOHN H., 1998, Behaviour of centres of action above the Atlantic since 1881. Part II: Associations with regional climate anomalies, International Journal of Climatology, 18, 23-36.
KOSSOWSKA-CEZAK U. and BAJKIEWICZ-GRABOWSKA E., 2009, Podstawy hydrometeorologii (Hydrometeorology basics ), PWN, Warszawa (in Polish).
KOŻUCHOWSKI K., 2011, Klimat Polski. Nowe spojrzenie (Climate of Poland. A new look), PWN, Warsaw.
ŁABĘDZKI L. and BĄK B., 2004, Standaryzowany klimatyczny bilans wodny jako wskaźnik suszy (Standarized climatic water balance as drought index), Acta Agrophysica, 3 (1), 117-124 (in Polish).
LÓPEZ-MORENO J. and VINCENTE-SERRANO S., 2008, Positive and negative phases of the wintertime North Atlantic Oscillation and drought occurrence over Europe: a multitemporal-scale approach, Journal of Climate, 21, 1220-1243. DOI: 10.1175/2007JCLI1739.1.
MARIOTTI A. and ARKIN PH., 2007, The North Atlantic Oscillation and oceanic precipitation variability, Climate Dynamics, 28, 35-51.
MARSHALL J., KUSHNIR J., BATTISTI D., C. PING, J. HURELL, M. MCCARTNEY and M. VISBECK, 1997, Atlantic climate variability, www.met.rdg.ac.uk, 42pp.
MARSZ A., 1999, Oscylacja Północnoatlantycka a reżim termiczny zim na obszarze północno-zachodniej Polski i na polskim wybrzeżu Bałtyku (The North Atlantic Oscillation and the thermal regime in the area of north-west Poland and the Polish coast of the Baltic Sea), Przegląd Geograficzny, 3, 225-245 (in Polish).
MARSZ A. and STYSZYŃSKA A., 2001, Oscylacja Północnego Atlantyku a temperatura powietrza nad Polską (The North Atlantic Oscillation and the air temperature over Poland), Maritime College in Gdynia (in Polish).
MIĘTUS M. et al., Bałtyk Południowy w 2002, …, 2010 roku. Charakterystyka wybranych elementów środowiska (Southern Baltic in 2002, ..., 2010. Characteristics of selected elements of the environment), IMGW-PIB, Warsaw (in Polish).
PANFIL M. and DRAGAŃSKA E., 2004, Związki korelacyjne między wskaźnikami NAO według Jonesa i Hurrella a warunkami termicznymi i opadowymi dla Polski północno-wschodniej (Correlations between NAO indexes (from Jones and Hurrell) and thermal also precipitation conditions in north-east Poland), Acta Agrophysica, 3 (1), 133-141 (in Polish).
QIAN B., CORTE-REAL J., XU H., 2000, Is the North Atlantic Oscillation the most important atmospheric pattern for precipitation in Europe? Journal of Geophysical Research, 105, d9, 11901-11910.
SCAIFE A., FOLLAND CH., ALEXANDER L., MOBERG A. and KNIGHT J., 2008, European climate extremes and North Atlantic Oscillation, Journal of Climate, 21, 72-82. DOI: 10.1175/2007JCLI1631.1.
VINCENTE-SERRANO S., BEGUERÍA S. and LÓPEZ-MORENO J., 2010, A multiscalar drought sensitive to global warming: The Standardized Precipitation Evaporation Index, Journal of Climate, 23, 1696-1718.
VINCENTE-SERRANO S. and LÓPEZ-MORENO J., 2008, Nonstationary influence of the North Atlantic Oscillation on European precipitation, Journal of Geophysical Research, 113, 14 pp. DOI: 10.1029/2008JD010382.
WANG D., WANG CH., YANG X. and LU J., 2005, Winter Northern hemisphere surface air temperature variability associated with the Arctic Oscillation and North Atlantic Oscillation, Geophysical Research Letters, 32, 4 pp. DOI: 10.1029/2005GL022952
Warunki środowiskowe polskiej strefy południowego Bałtyku w 2001 roku (Environmental conditions of the Polish zone of the southern Baltic in 2001), 2004, IMGW, Gdynia (in Polish).
WIBIG J., 1999, Precipitation in Europe in relation to circulation patterns at the 500 hPa level, International Journal of Climatology, 19, 253-269.
WIBIG J., 2012, Warunki wilgotnościowe w Polsce w świetle wskaźnika standaryzowanego klimatycznego bilansu wodnego (Moisture conditions inPoland in view of the SPEI index). Woda – Środowisko – Obszary Wiejskie, 12, 2 (38), 329-340 (in Polish).
Downloads
Published
How to Cite
Issue
Section
License
Copyright (c) 2016 Bulletin of Geography. Physical Geography Series
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NoDerivatives 4.0 International License.
Stats
Number of views and downloads: 287
Number of citations: 0
