Drought risk assessment in Quang Tri Province, Vietnam using Landsat multi-temporal remote sensing data and machine learning algorithm
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.12775/bgeo-2026-0002Keywords
Remote sensing, Landsat, drought index, Random Forest, Quang Tri Province, VietnamAbstract
Drought is a major environmental challenge that significantly impacts agriculture, water resources and ecosystems, particularly in regions prone to arid conditions. This study aims to classify and monitor drought severity using multi-temporal remote sensing data, drought indices and machine learning techniques. Landsat satellite imageries from 2014 to 2024, collected at two-year intervals, are utilized to assess drought patterns in Quang Tri Province, Vietnam. Three key drought indices Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI), Normalized Difference Water Index (NDWI) and Land Surface Water Index (LSWI) are computed to evaluate vegetation health, surface water content and soil moisture levels. The Random Forest algorithm on Google Earth Engine (GEE) is applied to classify drought into different severity levels based on spectral features extracted from satellite images. The results indicate a clear spatial and temporal variation in drought severity, with coastal areas consistently undergoing extreme drought, whereas central regions show increasing drought expansion over time. Western and southern areas remain relatively stable due to higher vegetation cover and water retention capacity. The study highlights the effectiveness of combining remote sensing data and machine learning in improving drought classification accuracy. The findings contribute to early-warning systems, water resource management and climate adaptation strategies, providing valuable insights for policymakers and land managers.
References
AGARWAL V, VISHVENDRA RAJ SINGH BV, MARSH S, QIN Z, SEN A and KULHARI K, 2025, Integrated Remote Sensing for Enhanced Drought Assessment: A Multi‐Index Approach in Rajasthan, India. Earth and Space Science 12(2): e2024EA003639. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1029/2024EA003639.
AGHAKOUCHAK A, FARAHMAND A, MELTON FS, TEIXEIRA J, ANDERSON MC, WARDLOW BD and HAIN CR, 2015, Remote sensing of drought: Progress, challenges and opportunities. Reviews of Geophysics 53(2): 452-480. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1002/2014RG000456.
ALEMU MG and ZIMALE FA, 2025, Integration of remote sensing and machine learning algorithm for agricultural drought early warning over Genale Dawa river basin, Ethiopia. Environmental Monitoring and Assessment 197(3): 276. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10661-025-13059-2.
ALWAN IA and AZIZ NA, 2022, Monitoring of surface ecological change using remote sensing technique over Al-Hawizeh Marsh, Southern Iraq. Remote Sensing Applications: Society and Environment 27: 100784. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.rsase.2022.100784.
BHAGA TD, DUBE T, SHEKEDE MD and SHOKO C, 2023, Investigating the effectiveness of Landsat-8 OLI and Sentinel-2 MSI satellite data in monitoring the effects of drought on surface water resources in the Western Cape Province, South Africa. Remote Sensing Applications: Society and Environment 32: 101037. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.rsase.2023.101037.
BREIMAN L, 2001, Random forests. Machine Learning 45(1): 5-32. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1023/A:1010933404324.
CAO R, CHEN Y, CHEN J, ZHU X and SHEN M, 2020, Thick cloud removal in Landsat images based on autoregression of Landsat time-series data. Remote Sensing of Environment 249: 112001. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.rse.2020.112001.
CHANDRASEKAR K, SESHA SAI MVR, ROY PS and DWEVEDI RS, 2010, Land Surface Water Index (LSWI) response to rainfall and NDVI using the MODIS Vegetation Index product. International Journal of Remote Sensing 31(15): 3987-4005. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1080/01431160903246736.
COOLEY H, 2006, Floods and droughts. Island Press, Washington, DC.
DONG Z, WANG Z, LIU D, SONG K, LI L, JIA M and DING Z, 2014, Mapping wetland areas using Landsat-derived NDVI and LSWI: A case study of West Songnen plain, Northeast China. Journal of the Indian Society of Remote Sensing 42(3): 569-576. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s12524-013-0354-4.
DU TLT, BUI DD, NGUYEN MD and LEE H, 2018, Satellite-based, multi-indices for evaluation of agricultural droughts in a highly dynamic tropical catchment, Central Vietnam. Water 10(5): 659. DOI: https://doi.org/10.3390/w10050659.
ELECTRONIC INFORMATION PORTAL OF QUANG TRI PROVINCE, 2025, Geographic location - Natural conditions. Available at: https://www.quangtri.gov.vn/ (Accessed: 15 February 2025).
GAO BC, 1996, NDWI - A normalized difference water index for remote sensing of vegetation liquid water from space. Remote Sensing of Environment 58(3): 257–266. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/S0034-4257(96)00067-3.
GHOSH S, KUMAR D and KUMARI R, 2022, Cloud-based large-scale data retrieval, mapping, and analysis for land monitoring applications with google earth engine (GEE). Environmental Challenges 9: 100605. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.envc.2022.100605.
GOOGLE EARTH ENGINE (GEE), 2025, Landsat 8 OLI/TIRS. Available at: https://developers.google.com/earth-engine/datasets/catalog/landsat-8 (Accessed: 13 February 2025).
GOOGLE EARTH ENGINE (GEE), 2025, Landsat 9 OLI-2/TIRS-2. Available at: https://developers.google.com/earth-engine/datasets/catalog/landsat-9 (Accessed: 13 February 2025).
GUO Y, LI F, CACCETTA P, DEVEREUX D and BERMAN M, 2016, Cloud filtering for Landsat TM satellite images using multiple temporal mosaicing. 2016 IEEE International Geoscience and Remote Sensing Symposium (IGARSS): 7240-7243. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1109/IGARSS.2016.7730867.
GUPTA AK, TYAGI P and SEHGAL VK, 2011, Drought disaster challenges and mitigation in India: strategic appraisal. Current Science 100(12): 1795-1806.
IHUOMA SO and MADRAMOOTOO CA, 2019, Sensitivity of spectral vegetation indices for monitoring water stress in tomato plants. Computers and Electronics in Agriculture 163: 104860. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.compag.2019.104860.
KUMAR V, SHARMA KV, PHAM QB, SRIVASTAVA AK, BOGIREDDY C and YADAV SM, 2024, Advancements in drought using remote sensing: assessing progress, overcoming challenges, and exploring future opportunities. Theoretical and Applied Climatology 155(6): 4151-4188. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00704-024-05127-x.
MAYBANK J, BONSAI B, JONES K, LAWFORD R, O’BRIEN EG, RIPLEY EA and WHEATON E, 1995, Drought as a natural disaster. Atmosphere-Ocean 33(2): 195-222. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1080/07055900.1995.9649532.
MOHAMMED I, ALWAN I and ZIBOON AR, 2024, Drought in Iraq: remote sensing assessment using LSWI-Index and Landsat imagery. Engineering and Technology Journal 42(11): 1475-1485. DOI: https://doi.org/10.30684/etj.2024.147019.
MYNENI RB, HALL FG, SELLERS PJ and MARSHAK AL, 1995, The interpretation of spectral vegetation indexes. IEEE Transactions on Geoscience and Remote Sensing 33(2): 481-486. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1109/36.377948.
PHAM MP, NGUYEN KQ, VU GD, NGUYEN TTN, TONG TH, TRINH LH and LE VP, 2022, Drought risk index for agricultural land based on a multi-criteria evaluation. Modelling Earth Systems and Environment 8(4): 5535–5546. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s40808-022-01376-9.
QUANG TRI PROVINCE DEPARTMENT OF NATURAL RESOURCES AND ENVIRONMENT, 2022, Biennial climate change report. Available at: https://quangtriclimate.vn/baocaokhihau/baocao21/ (Accessed: 13 March 2025).
SIVAKUMAR MVK, 2005, Impacts of natural disasters in agriculture, rangeland and forestry: an overview. In: Sivakumar MVK, Motha RP, Das HP (eds.) Natural Disasters and Extreme Events in Agriculture. Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg: 1-22. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/3-540-28307-2_1.
TAMIMINIA H, SALEHI B, MAHDIANPARI M, QUACKENBUSH L, ADELI S and BRISCO B, 2020, Google Earth Engine for geo-big data applications: A meta-analysis and systematic review. ISPRS Journal of Photogrammetry and Remote Sensing 164: 152-170. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.isprsjprs.2020.04.001.
THE NATIONAL AERONAUTICS AND SPACE ADMINISTRATION (NASA), 2025, Landsat Science. Available at: https://landsat.gsfc.nasa.gov/ (Accessed: 13 February 2025).
TRINH LH and VU DT, 2019, Application of remote sensing technique for drought assessment based on normalized difference drought index, a case study of Bac Binh district, Binh Thuan province (Vietnam). Russian Journal of Earth Sciences 19(2): ES2003. DOI: https://doi.org/10.2205/2018ES000647.
U.S. GEOLOGICAL SURVEY, 2025, Landsat Products and Data Access. https://www.usgs.gov/landsat-missions (Accessed: 13 February 2025).
VIJAYAKUMAR S, SARAVANAKUMAR R, ARULANANDAM M, RAJENDRAN T and DHANARAJ RK, 2024, Google Earth Engine: empowering developing countries with large-scale geospatial data analysis-a comprehensive review. Arabian Journal of Geosciences 17(4): 139. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s12517-024-11948-x.
WEST H, QUINN N and HORSWELL M, 2019, Remote sensing for drought monitoring & impact assessment: Progress, past challenges and future opportunities. Remote Sensing of Environment 232: 111291. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.rse.2019.111291.
WILHITE DA, 2016, Drought as a natural hazard: concepts and definitions. In: Wilhite DA (ed.) Drought and Water Crises: Integrating Science, Management, and Policy. CRC Press, Boca Raton.
WILHITE DA, SIVAKUMAR MVK and PULWARTY R, 2014, Managing drought risk in a changing climate: The role of national drought policy. Weather and Climate Extremes 3: 4-13. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.wace.2014.01.002.
XIAO X, MING W, LUO X, YANG L, LI M, YANG P, WANG R, DUAN P, ZHANG C and LI Y, 2024, Leveraging multisource data for accurate agricultural drought monitoring: A hybrid deep learning model. Agricultural Water Management 293: 108692. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.agwat.2024.108692.
YANG L, DRISCOL J, SARIGAI S, WU Q, CHEN H and LIPPITT CD, 2022, Google Earth Engine and Artificial Intelligence (AI): A Comprehensive Review. Remote Sensing 14(14): 3253. DOI: https://doi.org/10.3390/rs14143253.
ZHA X, JIA S, HAN Y, ZHU W and LV A, 2025, Enhancing Soil Moisture Prediction in Drought-Prone Agricultural Regions Using Remote Sensing and Machine Learning Approaches. Remote Sensing 17(2): 181. DOI: https://doi.org/10.3390/rs17020181.
Downloads
Published
How to Cite
Issue
Section
License
Copyright (c) 2026 Thi Thu Trang Tran, Le Hung Trinh, Thi Phuong Thao Do, Van Phu Le

This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NoDerivatives 4.0 International License.
Stats
Number of views and downloads: 48
Number of citations: 0