Thermal regimes of lakes in the southern and eastern part of the Baltic Sea catchment area during the period of climate change
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.12775/bgeo-2023-0008Keywords
lakes in Poland and Belarus, temperature, ice phenology, climate changeAbstract
The study covered eleven lakes located in northern Poland and Belarus, aiming to determine the degree and trends of surface water temperature changes for the years 1971–2020 and lake ice cover for the period of 1961–2020 under the influence of ongoing climate changes. The analysis focused on changes and trends in average monthly surface water temperatures (SWT), as well as
changes in the onset and end, duration and maximum thickness of ice cover. The average annual surface water temperature increased in the lakes by an average of 0.044°C per year. The lake with the highest trend is Chervonoe, at with 0.066°C per year, while the lowest is 0.029°C per year in Lake Hańcza. The ice cover duration showed a decrease of 0.6 days per year, and there was a reduction in maximum ice thickness of 0.27 cm per year
References
ADRIAN R, O’REILLY CM, ZAGARESE H, BAINES SB, ESSEN DO, KELLER W, LIVINGSTONE DM, SOMMARUGA R, STRABLE D, VAN DONK E,
WEYHENMEYER GA and WINDER M, 2009, Lakes as sentinels of climate change. Limnology and Oceanography 54(6-2): 2283–2297.
AMBROSETTI W and BARBANTI L, 1999, Deep water warming in lakes: as indicator of climatic change. Journal of Limnology 58(1): 1–9.
APSĪTE E, ELFERTS D, ZUBANIČS A and LATKOVSKAI, 2014, Long-term changes in hydrological regime of the lakes in Latvia. Hydrology Research 45(3): 308–321.
ARVOLA L, GEORGE G, LIVINGSTONE DM, JÄRVINEN M, BLENCKNER T, DOKULIL MT, JENNINGS E, AONGHUSA CN, NÕGES P, NÕGES
T and WEYHENMEYER GA, 2010, The Impact of the Changing Climate on the Thermal Characteristics of Lakes. In: George D.G. (ed.), The Impact of Climate Change on European Lakes. Aquatic Ecology Series 4. DOI: 10.1007/978-90-481-2945-4,6.
ARVOLA L, GEORGE G, LIVINGSTONE DM, JÄRVINEN M, BLENCKNER T, DOKULIL MT, JENNINGS E, AONGHUSA CN, NÕGES P, NÕGES
T and WEYHENMEYER GA, 2010, The Impact of the Changing Climate on the Thermal Characteristics of Lakes. In: George D.G. (ed.), The Impact of Climate Change on European Lakes, Aquatic Ecology Series 4. DOI: 10.1007/978-90-481-2945-4,6.
BENGTSSON L, 1986, Spatial variability of lake ice covers. Geografiska Annaler: Series A, Physical Geography 68A(1–2): 113–121.
BENSON BJ, MAGNUSON JJ, JENSEN OP, CARD VM, HODGKINS G, KORHONEN J, LIVINGSTONE DM, STEWART KM, WEYHENMEYER GA
and GRANIN NA, 2012, Extreme events, trends, and variability in Northern Hemisphere lake-ice Thermal regimes of lakes in the southern and eastern part of the Baltic Sea catchment area during... R. Skowron, T. Jaszczyk
phenology (1855–2005). Climatic Change 112: 299–323.
BUKANTIS A, GEUBINAS Z, KAZAKEVICIUS S, KILKUS K, MIKELINSKIENE A, MOKRUNAITE R, RIMKUS E, SAMULA M, STANKUNAVICIUS
G, VALIUSKEVICIUS G and ŻAROMSKIS R, 2001, Klimato svyraminu poveikis fiziniams geografiniams procesams Lietuvoje (red. A. Bukantis, K. Kilkus, E. Rimkus) (The influence of climatic variations on physical geographical processes in Lithuania), Geografijos Institutas, Vilnius Universitetas, Vilnius, 280 (in Lithuanian with English Sumary).
CHOIŃSKI A, PTAK M and SKOWRON R, 2014, Tendencje zmian zjawisk lodowych jezior Polski w latach 1951–2010. Przegląd Geograficzny 86: 23–40.
CZARNECKA M and NIDZGORSKA-LENCEWICZ J, 2017, Zmienność termicznej zimy w Polsce w latach 1960–2015. Acta Agrophysica 24: 205-220.
DANILOVISH I, 2004, Influence of climate warming on hydrological regime of lakes and reservoirs in Belarus during 1988–2002. Materials of XXIII Nordic hydrological conference, NHP, Tallinn, Report 48: 691–695.
DĄBROWSKI M, MARSZELEWSKI W and SKOWRON R, 2004, The trends and dependencies between air and water temperatures in the lakes located in Northern Poland in the years 1961–2000. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences 8(1): 79–87.
DOKULIL MT, 2013, Impact of climate warming on European inland waters. Inland Waters 4: 27–40. DOI: 10.5268/IW-4.1.705.
DOKULIL MT, JAGSCH A, GEORGE GD, ANNEVILLE A, JANKOWSKI T, WAHL B, LENHART B, BLENCKNER T and TEUBNER K, 2006, Twenty
years of spatially coherent deep-water warming in lakes across Europe related to the North Atlantic Oscillation. Limnology and Oceanography 51: 2787–2793.
DOKULIL MT, TEUBNER K, JAGACH A, NICKU U, ADRIAN R, STRABLE D, JANKOWSKI T, HERZIG A and PANISK J, 2010, The impact of climate change on European lakes. In: Glen G. (ed.), Dordrecht–Heidelberg, 387–409.
EFREMOVA T, PALSHIN N, ZDOROVENNOV R, 2013, Long-term characteristics of ice phenology in Karelian lakes. Estonian Journal of Earth Sciences62(1): 33–41, DOI: 10.3176/earth.2013.04.
GEORGE DG, 2007, The impact of the North Atlantic Oscillation on the development of ice on Lake Windermere. Climatic Change 81(3–4): 455–468. DOI: 10.1007/s10584-006-9115-5.
GRONSKAYA TP, LEMESHKO NA, ARVOLA L and JARVINEN M, 2002, Lakes of European Russia and Finland as indicators of climate change. World Resource Review 14(2): 189–203.
HURRELL JW, 1995, Decadal trends in the North Atlantic Oscillation: regional temperatures and precipitation. Science 269: 676–679.
JÄRVET A, 2002, Climatological calendar of Estonian lakes and its long-term changes. Nordic Hydrological Programe, Report 47(2): 677–687.
KARETNIKOV S, NAUMENKO M, 2008, Recent trends in Lake Ladoga ice cover. Hydrobiologia 599: 41–48.
KASZEWSKI B, 2015, Zmiany klimatu Polski w pracach plskich klimatologów. Przegląd Geofizyczny 60(3–4): 217–235.
KILKUS K, VALIUŠKEVIČIUS G, 2001, Klimato svyravimų atspindţiai eţerų ir upių hidrologiniuose bei hidrofizikiniuose rodikliuose. In: A. Bukantis, Z. Gulbinas, S. Kazakevičius, K. Kilkus, A. Mikelinskienė, R. Morkūnaitė, E. Rimkus, M. Samuila, G. Stankūnavičius, G. Valiuškevičius, R. Ţaromskis (eds.), Klimato svyravimų poveikis fiziniams geografiniams procesams Lietuvoje. Vilnius: Geografijos institutas, Vilniaus universitetas, 194–232.
KIRVEL PI, 2007, Features of the ice regime of lakes in Belarus. Belarus Pediatr. Univ., 59–65.
KORHONEN J, 2004, Analysis of lake ice cover observations in Finland. Nordic Hydrology 37(4–5): 347–363.
KOŻUCHOWSKI K, ŻMUDZKA E, 2001, Ocieplenie w Polsce: skala i rozkład sezonowy zmian temperatury powietrza w drugiej połowie XX wieku. Przegląd Geofizyczny 46(1–2): 81–90.
KUUSISTO E and ELO AR, 2000, Lake and river ice variables as climate indicators in Northern Europe, Verh. Internat. Verein. Limnol., Stuttgart 27: 2761–2764.
KVAMBEKK ÅS AND MELVOLD K, 2010, Long-term trends in water temperature and ice cover in the subalpine lake, Øvre Heimdalsvatn, and nearby lakes and rivers. Hydrobiologia 642(1): 47–60.
LEMESHKO N, GRONSKAYA T, 2004, Changes in ice events and ice thickness on lakes of Russia in latitudes. XXIII Nordic Hydrological Conference, Tallinn, Estonia 8–12 August 2004, vol. II, NHP Report No 48, Tartu, 680–684.
LIEBERHERR G and WUNDERLE S, 2018, Lake surface water temperature derived from 35 years of AVHRR sensor data for European lakes. Remote Sensing 10(7): 990. DOI: 10.3390/rs10070990.
LIVINGSTONE DM, 1993, Temporal structure in the deep-water temperature of four Swiss lakes: A shortterm climatic change indicator? Verhandlungen des Internationalen Verein Limnologie 25: 75–81. DOI: 10.1080/03680770.1992.11900062.
MAGEE MR, WU CHH, ROBERTSON DM, LATHROP RC and HAMILTON DP, 2016, Trends and abrupt changes in 104 years of ice cover and
water temperature in a dimictic lake in response to air temperature, wind speed, and water clarity drivers. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences 20: 1681–1702. DOI: 10.5194/hess-20-1681-2016.
MAGNUSON JJ, ROBERTSON DM, BENSON BJ, WYNNE RH, LIVINGSTONE DM, ARAI T, ASSEL RA, BARRY RG, CARD V, KURSISTO E, GRANIN
NG, PROWSE TD, STEWART KM, VUGLINSKI VS, 2000, Historical trends in lake and river ice cover in the Northern Hemisphere. Science, 289: 1743–1746.
MAHRER OA, UVO CB and BENGTSSON L, 2005, Comparison between two extreme NAO Winters and consequences on the thermal regime of Lake Vendyurskoe, Karelia. Journal of Hydrometeorology 6: 775-783.
MARSZELEWSKI W and SKOWRON R, 2006, Ice cover as an indicator of winter air temperature changes: case study of the Polish Lowland lakes. Hydrological Science Journal 51(2): 336–349.
MAZUMDER A and TAYLOR WD, 1994, Thermal structure of lakes varming in size and water clarity. Limnology and Oceanography 39: 968–976.
MICHALSKY J and LEMMIN U, 1995, Dynamics of vertical mixing in the hypolimnion of a deep lake: Lake Geneva. Limnology and Oceanography 40: 809–816.
MITIKKA S and EKHOLM P, 2003, Lakes in the Finnish Eurowaternet: status and trends. The Science of the Total Environment 310: 37–45.
NAUMENKO MA, GUZIVATY VV and KARETNIKOV SG, 2008, Surface temperature climatic trends in Lake Ladoga: do they exist during ice-free period? Limnological Review 8(3): 103–108.
PRZYBYLAK R, MAJOROWICZ J, WÓJCIK G, ZIELSKI A, CHORĄŻYCZEWSKI W, MARCINIAK K, NOWOSAD W, OLIŃSKI P, SYTA K, 2005,
Temperature changes in Poland from the 16th to the 20th centuries. International Journal of Climatology 25: 773–791.
PERNARAVIČIŪTĖ B, 2004, The impact of limate change on thermal regime of Lithuanian lakes. Ekologija 2: 58–63.
PTAK M, SOJKA M, CHOIŃSKI A and NOWAK B, 2018. Effect of environmental conditions and morphometric parameters on surface water temperature in Polish lakes. Water 10: 580.
PTAK M, TOMCZYK AM, WRZESIŃSKI D and BEDNORZ E, 2019, Effect of teleconnection patterns on ice conditions in lakes in lowland Poland. Theoretical and Applied Climatology 138: 1961–1969. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00704-019-02929-2.
REINART A and PÄRN O, 2006. Ice conditions of a large shallow lake (Lake Peipsi) determined by observations, an ice model, and satellite images. Proceedings of the Estonian Academy of Sciences 55: 243–261.
RIMMER A, GAL G, OPHER T, LECHINSKY Y and YACOBI Y, 2011, Mechanisms of long-term variations in the thermal structure of a warm lake. Limnology and Oceanography 56(3): 974–988. DOI: 10.4319/lo.2011.56.3.097.
SALMASO N and MOSELLO R, 2010, Limnological research in the deep southern subalpine lakes: synthesis, directions and perspectives. Advances in Oceanography and Limnology 1(1): 29–66.
SALO YA and NAZAROVA LE, 2011, Multiannual variability of the Onega Lake ice regime in conditions of variability of the regional climate. Process. Russian Geographical Society 143: 50–55.
SILOW EA, 2012, Exergy changes in lakes around the world under pressure from global chang. Archives Des Sciences 65: 209-214.
SKOWRON R, 1997, Tendencje zmian temperatury wody powierzchniowej i zjawisk lodowych w jeziorach na obszarach pojeziernych w Polsce. In: Choiński A. (ed.), Wpływ antropopresji na jeziora, Materiały Konferencji Naukowej, Poznań, Poznań–Bydgoszcz, 143–151.
SKOWRON R, 1999, Termiczna sezonowość wody powierzchniowej w jeziorach polskich – jej fluktuacje i tendencje, Warszawa, 231–243.
SKOWRON R, 2001, Surface water thermal seasons in polish lakes, their distribution and spatial differentation. In: Marszelewski W., Skowron R. (eds.), Limnological Review 1: 251–263.
SKOWRON R, 2007, The thermocline layer in the thermal water structure of selected Polish lakes. Limnological Review 7(3): 161–169.
SKOWRON R, 2021, Ice phenomena in investigations of Polish lakes. Bulletin of Geography. Phisical Geography Series, 20: 15-29. DOI: https://doi.org/10.2478/34938.
SKOWRON R, KIRVEL P, CHOIŃSKI A AND KIRVEL I, 2023, Diversity and variability of the course of ice phenomena on the lakes located in the southern and eastern part of the Baltic Sea catchment area. Limnological Review 23: 33-49.
SKOWRON R and SUKHOVILO N, 2022, The surface temperature of water in Polish and Belarusian lakes during the period of climate change. Limnological Review 22(1): 35–43. DOI: 10.2478/limre-2022-0004.
SOBOLEWSKI W, BOROWIAK D, BOROWIAK M and SKOWRON R, 2014, Baza danych jezior Polski i jej wykorzystanie w badaniach limnologicznych, Picador Komunikacja Graficzna, Lublin, 198.
SOJA AMK, KUTICS K, MARACEK K, MOLNÁR G and SOJA G, 2014, Changes in ice phenology characteristics of two Central European steppe lakes from 1926 to 2012—Influences of local weather and large scale oscillation patterns. Climate Change 126:
–133. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-014-1199-8.
STRAILE D, LIVINGSTONE DM, WEYHENMEYER GA and GEORGE DG, 2003, The Response of Freshwater Ecosystems to Climate Variability
Associated with the North Atlantic Oscillation, Freshwater ecosystem response to NAO variability. Geophysical Monograph Series 134: 263–279.
WOOLWAY RI, DOKULIL MT, MARSZELEWSKI W, SCHMID M, BOUFFARD D and MERCHANT CHJ, 2017, Warming of Central European lakes and their response to the 1980s climate regime shift. Climatic Change 142: 505–520. DOI: 10.1007/s10584-017-1966-4.
WRZESIŃSKI D, CHOIŃSKI A, PTAK M and SKOWRON R, 2015, Effect of the North Atlantic Oscillation on the pattern of lake ice phenology in Poland. Acta Geophysica 63: 1664–1684. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1515/acgeo-2015-0055.
YOO JCH and D’ODORICO P, 2002, Trends and fluctuations in the dates of ice break-up of lakes and rivers in Northern Europe: the effect of the North Atlantic Oscillation. Journal of Hydrology 268: 100–112.
ZHANG X, WANG K, FRASSL MS and BOEHRER B, 2020, Reconstructing six decades of surface temperatures at a shallow lake. Water 12(405): 1–23, DOI: 10.3390/w12020405
Downloads
Published
How to Cite
Issue
Section
License
Copyright (c) 2024 Rajmund Skowron, Tomasz Jaszczyk
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NoDerivatives 4.0 International License.
Stats
Number of views and downloads: 545
Number of citations: 0
