Detection of flood-hazard-prone zones using GIS modeling and AHP method in urban areas: the case of Amman Governorate
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.12775/bgeo-2023-0001Keywords
Flood Risk, SPI, GIS, AHP, SCS, Amman GovernorateAbstract
The aim of this study is to attempt a creative mapping of areas at risk of floods in Amman, using the Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP) Method and GIS Modeling. The method (AHP) involves a weighting of a number of factors adopted by comparison. The main factors considered in this study were Elevation, Slope, Rainfall Intensity, Runoff, Land Use/Land Cover, Flow Accumulation, and SPI; these were reclassified and weighted to map the levels of flood hazards in the study area. Each factor/criteria was weighted and assigned a rank or score by using the Pairwise Comparison method to enable researchers to make a decision about the severity of the flood. The results show that about 28.2 % of the study area has a high to very high risk of flooding and that flooding can be very strong in the northwestern regions with high population density, while the risk becomes low in the eastern, southeastern, and western arid and semi-arid regions with low population density.
References
• Aher P, Adinarayana J, Gorantiwar S (2013) Prioritization of watersheds using multi-criteria evaluation through the fuzzy analytical hierarchy process. Agric Eng Int CIGR J,15(1):11–18. https://cigrjournal.org/index.php/Ejounral/article/view/2282/1695
• Aikhuele D, Souleman F, Amir A (2014) Application of fuzzy AHP for ranking critical success factors for the successful implementation of Lean Production Technique.Australian Journal of Basic and applied sciences, 8 (18):399-407. f
• Al-Qudah K and Abu-Jaber N (2009). A GIS database for sustainable management of shallow water resources in the Tulul Ashaqif region, NE Jordan. Water Resources Management Journal, 23:603-615. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s11269-008-9290-4
• Al Raisi S, Sulaiman H, Abdallah O, Suliman F (2014) Landfill suitable analysis using AHP method and state of heavy metals pollution in selected landfills in Oman. European Scientific Journal,10(17). https://doi.org/10.19044/esj.2014.v10n17p%25p
• Al-Sababhah N (2018) Assessment of Flood Vulnerability in Arid Basins from a Geomorphological Perspective (Wadi Musa in Southern Jordan: Case Study). Journal of the Faculty of Arts (JFA). 78(7): 267-296.
• Andualem T, Hagos Y, Kefale A, and Zelalem B (2020) Soil erosion‑prone area identification using multi‑criteria decision analysis in Ethiopian highlands, Modeling Earth Systems and Environment, 6:1407–1418. https://doi.org/10.1007/s40808-020-00757-2
• Ayalew L, Yamagishi H (2005) The application of GIS-based logistic regression for landslide susceptibility mapping in the Kakuda–Yahiko Mountains, Central Japan, Geomorphology,65(2):15–31. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.geomorph.2004.06.010
• Bunruamkaew K, Murayama Y (2011) Site Suitability Evaluation for Ecotourism Using GIS & AHP: A Case Study of Surat Thani Province, Thailand. Procedia - Social and Behavioral Sciences 21:269-278.http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.sbspro.2011.07.024
• Burke I, Lauenroth W, Riggle R, Brannen P, Madigan B, Beard S (1999) Spatial variability of soil properties in the shortgrass steppe: the relative importance of topography, grazing, microsite, and plant species in controlling spatial patterns. Ecosystems, 2(5):422-438.
• Canada J and Green K (1999) Assessing the Accuracy of Remotely sensed data: Principles and practices, USA, Lewis publishers.
• Chaudhary P, Chhetri S, Joshi K, Shrestha B, Kayastha P (2016) Application of an Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP in the GIS interface for suitable fire site selection: A case study from Kathmandu Metropolitan City, Nepal," Socio-Economic Planning Services:60 –71. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.seps.2015.10.001
• Chen Ch (2006) Applying the analytical hierarchy process (AHP) approach to convention site selection, Journal of Travel Research, 45(2):167 – 174. https://doi.org/10.1177/0047287506291593
• Danielson T (2013) Utilizing a high-resolution digital elevation model (DEM) to develop a stream power index (SPI) for the Gilmore creek watershed in Winona county, Minnesota. papers in resource analysis,15.
• Eastman J, Weigen J, Kyem P, Toledano J (1995) For storm prediction and flood forecasting. tech. report flooded project, (action 3.1) Interreg IIB cases. research institute for geo-hydrological protection (IRPI-CNR), Italy. http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/02626667.2011.555836
• Falkland A (1993) Hydrology and water management on small tropical islands, Hydrology of Warm Humid Regions (Proceedings of the Yokohama Symposium, IAHS Publ. no. 216, Hydrology and Water Resources Branch, ACT Electricity and Water. Australia https://iahs.info/uploads/dms/iahs_216_0263.pdf
• Greenbaum N, Schwartz U, Bergman N)2009(Extreme floods and short-term hydro climatological fluctuations in the hyper-arid Dead Sea region. Global and Planter Change GLOBAL-01523; No of Pages13.
• Grohmann C, Riccomini C, Alves F (2007) SRTM-based morphotectonic analysis of the Pocos de Caldas alkaline Massif, southeastern Brazil. Comput. Geosci. 33:10–19. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.cageo.2006.05.002
• Haile A, and Rientjes T (2005). Effects of LiDAR DEM resolution in flood modeling: a model sensitivity study for the city of Tegucigalpa, Honduras. ISPRS WG III/3, III/4, V/3 Workshop, Netherlands, September 12-14, 2005.
• Hutchinson M (1998) interpolation of rainfall data with thin plate smoothing splines - part ii: analysis of topographic dependence, journal of geographic information and decision analysis, 2 (2): 152 -167,
• Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC (Report. The Fourth Assessment Report (AR4) (2008. Was prepared under the auspices of the IPCC, which is chaired by Dr. Rajendra K. Pachauri, and administered by the IPCC Working Group II Technical Support Unit. https://www.ipcc.ch/site/assets/uploads/2018/03/doc13-5.pdf
• Joubert A, Leiman A, de Klerk H, Katu S, Aggenbach J (1997) Fynbos (fine bush) vegetation and the supply of water: a comparison of multi-criteria decision analysis, Ecological Economics, 22(2):123–140. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0921-8009(97)00573-9
• Kakembo V, Xanga W, Rowntree K (2009) Topographic Thresholds in Gully Development On the Hillslopes of Communal Areas in Ngqushwa Local Municipality, Eastern Cape, South Africa. Geomorphology,110:188–194. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.geomorph.2009.04.006
• Kellens W, Deckers P, Saleh H and Vanneuville W (2008) A GIS tool for flood risk analysis in Flanders (Belgium). Risk Analysis. 39:21–27. https://doi.org/10.2495/RISK080031
• Korkalainen T, Lauren A, Kokkonen T (2007) A GIS-based analysis of catchment properties within a drumlin field. Boreal Environ. Res. 12, 489–500.
• Kourgialas N, Karatzas G (2011) Flood management and a GIS modelling method to assess flood-hazard areas: A case study, Hydrological Sciences Journal, 56(2): 212–225. https://doi.org/10.1080/02626667.2011.555836
• Malczewski J (1999) GIS and Multi-Criteria Decision Analysis, John Wiley and Sons, New York.
• Moore I, Rodger B,Grayson (1991) Terrain-based catchment partitioning and runoff prediction using vector elevation data. Water Resour. Res,27(6):1177–1191. https://doi.org/10.1029/91WR00090
• Nawaiseh S and Al-Sababhah N (2017) synoptic conditions associated with Flash flood, which affected the city of Aqaba on 29 March 2015. Humanities and Social Sciences Series(Mutah University). 32(3): 175-202.
• Nefeslioglu H, Gokceoglu C, Sonmez H (2008) An assessment on the use of logistic regression and artificial neural networks with different sampling strategies for the preparation of landslide susceptibility maps. Eng. Geol, 97:171–191. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.enggeo.2008.01.004
• Nie W, Yuan Y, Kepner W, Nash M, Jackson M, Erickson C (2011) Assessing impacts of land use and land cover changes on hydrology for the upper San Pedro watershed. Journal of Hydrology, 407(1–4), 105– 114.
• Ozkan S, Tarhan C (2016) Detection of Flood Hazard in Urban Areas Using GIS: Izmir Case, Procedia Technology,22:373-381. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.protcy.2016.01.026
• Potter K and Frevert D (2010) Proceedings of watershed management 2010: innovations in watershed management under land use and climate change. Madison, 23-27 August 2010, American society of civil engineers. http://dx.doi.org/10.1061/9780784411438
• Puno G, Amper R (2016). Flood Modeling of Musimusi River in Balingasag, Misamis Oriental, 20(3): 150-165.
• Ran Q, Su D, Li P, He Z (2012) Experimental study of the impact of rainfall characteristics on runoff generation and soil erosion. Journal of Hydrology:99–111. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2011.12.035
• ribeiro r (1996) fuzzy multiple criterion decision making: a review and new preference elicitation techniques. fuzzy sets and systems,78(2):155-181. https://doi.org/10.1016/0165-0114(95)00166-2
• Saaty T (1977) A scaling method for priorities in hierarchical structures. Journal of mathematical psychology, 15,234-281.
• Saaty T (1980), “The analytic hierarchy process”. McGraw-Hill: New York
• Saaty t (1984). the analytic hierarchy process: decision making in complex environments. in: avenhaus, r., huber, r.k. (eds) quantitative assessment in arms control. springer, boston, ma.:pp285-308. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-1-4613-2805-6_12
• Saaty T (2008), Decision making with the analytic hierarchy process, int. j. service science, 1(1):16.
• Saaty R (2016) Decision making in complex environments: the analytic network process (ANP) for dependence and feedback, Katz graduate school of business university of Pittsburg, vol. I.
• Sinshaw B et al (2021) Prioritization of potential soil erosion susceptibility region using fuzzy logic and analytical hierarchy process, upper Blue Nile Basin, Ethiopia. Water-Energy Nexus,4:10–24. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.wen.2021.01.001
• Stewart T, Scott L (1995) A Scenario-Based Framework for Multi-criteria Decision Analysis in Water Resources Planning, Water Resources Research, 31(11):2835–2843.https://doi.org/10.1029/95WR01901
• Tairi A, Elmouden A, Aboulouafa M (2013) Soil Erosion RiskMapping Using the Analytical Hierarchy Process (AHP) and GeographicInformation System in the Tifnout-Askaoun Watershed, Southern Morocco, European Scientific Journal, 15(30):338. https://doi.org/10.19044/esj.2019.v15n30p338
• United States Department of Agriculture(USDA) (2004), Hydrologic soil-cover complexes, natural resources conservation service, chapter 9, part 630 hydrology, national engineering handbook, USA.
• Van Dijk A, Bruijnzeel L, Rosewell C (2002). Rainfall intensity-kinetic energy relationship: Acritical literature appraisal. Journal of Hydrology, 261(1–4): 1–23. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0022-1694(02)00020-3
• Yasser M, Jahangir K, Mohmmad A (2013) Earth dam site selection using the analytic hierarchy process (AHP): A case study in the west of Iran. Arabian Journal of Geoscience. 6 (9):3417–3426. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s12517-012-0602-x
• Zerger, A. (2002) Examining GIS decision utility for natural hazard risk modeling. Environ. Model. Software 17(3),287–294. https://doi.org/10.1016/S1364-8152(01)00071-8
Downloads
Published
How to Cite
Issue
Section
License
Copyright (c) 2023 Noah Al-Sababhah
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NoDerivatives 4.0 International License.
Stats
Number of views and downloads: 605
Number of citations: 0
