Geo-spatial analysis of rainfall variability in Khyber Pakhtunkhwa Province, Pakistan
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.12775/EQ.2023.004Keywords
Rainfall, Trend, Mann-Kendall test, Kendall Tau, Spatial VariabilityAbstract
This paper explores geo-spatial analysis of rainfall variability in Khyber Pakhtunkhwa province, Pakistan. The concern region lies in the north-west of Pakistan and frequently faced the challenges of floods each year. This is an attempt to find out the rainfall trend and fluctuation which is one of the prime indicator of climate change. For this study, the daily rainfall data comprises of almost five decades (1975-2015). For achieving the study objectives, daily, monthly and mean annual rainfall data were analyzed using Mann-Kendall and Standard Deviation combined. Additionally, to further process the rainfall data spatio-statistically, GIS technology has been applied. The analysis specifies that a positive rainfall detected in the meteorological stations of Peshawar, Dir, Chitral, Drosh, Kakul and Saidu, whereas the moderate rainfall trend is detected in Cherat, Bannu, and Balakot. The remaining stations expressed no obvious trend, due to low time period of data.
References
Beyene T., Lettenmaier D. & Kabat P. 2010, Hydrologic impacts of climate change on the Nile River Basin: implications of the 2007 IPCC scenarios. Climate Change 100(3): 433–461.
Britannica E., 2012, Khyber Pakhtunkhwa Province, Pakistan, from Encyclopedia Britannica, inc. https://www.britannica.com/place/ Khyber-Pakhtunkhwa
Ceppi P., Scherrer S.C., Fischer A.M. & Appenzeller C.. 2012, Revisiting Swiss temperature trends 1959-2008. Int J Climatol 32(2): 203–213
Dawood M., Rahman A.U., Mahmood S., Rahman G. & Nazir S.. 2021, Assessing the impact of climatic change on discharge in Swat river basin using fuzzy logic model. Arabian Journal of Geosciences 14(18): 1–16.
Dawood M., Rahman A.U., Ullah S., Rahman G. & Azam K.. 2018, Spatio-temporal analysis of temperature variability, trend, and magnitude in the Hindu Kush region using Monte Carlo and Sen’s slope approaches. Arabian Journal of Geosciences 11(16): 1–15.
Dichter D., 1967, The North-West frontier of West Pakistan: a study in regional geography. Clarendon Press, Oxford.
Douglas E.M., Vogel R.M. & Kroll C.N., 2000, Trends in floods and low flows in the United States: impact of spatial correlation. J Hydrol 240: 90–105.
Govt of Pakistan (GoP), 2016, Pakistan Economic Survey. Finance Division, Govt. of Pakistan, Islamabad.
IPCC, 2014, Climate change 2014: synthesis report. Contribution of working groups I, II and III to the fifth assessment report of the intergovernmental panel on climate change. Core Writing Team, R.K. Pachauri, L.A. Meyer (eds). IPCC, Geneva, Switzerland.
Khan F.K., 2015, Pakistan geography economy and people, 4th edn. Oxford University Press, Pakistan.
Martius O., Sodemann H., Joos H., Pfahl S., Winschall A., Croci-Maspoli M., et al., 2013, The role of upper level dynamics and surface processes for the Pakistan flood of July 2010. Q J R Meteorol Soc 139(676): 1780–1797.
Malik S., 2012, “Case study: exploring demographic dimensions of flood vulnerability in rural Charsadda, Pakistan”, Master thesis: appendix 4, available at: https://assets.publishing. service.gov.uk/media/57a08a65ed915d3cfd000746/Indus Floods Research Appendix 4. pdf
Modarres R. & Silva V.P.R., 2007, Rainfall trends in arid and semi-arid regions of Iran. J Arid Environ 70: 344–355.
Panthi J., Dahal P., Shrestha M.L., Aryal S., Krakauer N.Y., Pradhanang S.M., et al., 2015, Spatial and temporal variability of rainfall in the Gandaki river basin of Nepal Himalaya. Climate 3(1): 210–226.
Rahman G., Rahman A. & Samiullah D.M., 2018, Spatial and temporal variation of rainfall and drought in Khyber Pakhtunkhwa Province of Pakistan during 1971-2015. Arab J Geosci 11(3): 1–13.
Rahman A. & Dawood M., 2016, Spatio-statistical analysis of temperature fluctuation using Mann–Kendall and Sen’s slope approach. Clim Dyn 48(3): 783–797.
Rahman A. & Khan A.N., 2011, Analysis of flood causes and associated socio-economic damages in the Hindukush region. Nat Hazards 59(3): 1239–1260.
Rahman A.U., Mahmood S., Dawood M., Rahman G. & Chen F., 2019, Impact of climate change on flood factors and extent of damages in the Hindu Kush Region, [in:] Oxford Research Encyclopedia of Natural Hazard Science. DOI:10.1093/acrefore/9780199389407.013.316
Rasul G., Mahmood A., Sadiq A. & Khan S.I., 2012, “Vulnerability of the Indus Delta to climate change in Pakistan”. Pakistan Journal of Meteorology 8(16): 89–107.
Ullah R., Shivakoti G.P. & Ali G., 2015, “Factors effecting farmers’ risk attitude and risk perceptions: the case of Khyber Pakhtunkhwa, Pakistan”. International Journal of Disaster Risk Reduction 13: 151–157.
Xu H., Taylor R.G. & Xu Y., 2011, Quantifying uncertainty in the impacts of climate change on river discharge in sub-catchments of the Yangtze and Yellow river basins, China. Hydrol Earth Syst Sci 15(1): 333–344.
Downloads
Published
How to Cite
Issue
Section
License
Copyright (c) 2022 Muhammad Dawood, Safdar Ali Shirazi
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NoDerivatives 4.0 International License.
Stats
Number of views and downloads: 571
Number of citations: 0