Is the impact of COVID-19 on housing construction activity inside and outside a large city evident? The example of Łódź (Poland)
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.12775/bgss-2022-0003Keywords
residential construction, urban development, COVID-19, PolandAbstract
The coronavirus pandemic has influenced cities’ shape and future. Telecommuting, teleconferencing, telelearning and e-commerce are creating a new environment of human life. These new factors should be added to the existing problems of urbanisation that are urban sprawl and depopulation. The authors of the paper decided to examine the intensity and spatial distribution of residential construction activity and residential real-estate trade in one of the biggest Polish cities – Łódź – and neighbouring municipalities to answer the question of whether the pandemic has affected housing decisions taken by developers and buyers. Based on statistical data, attempts were made to observe new signs confirming the intensification or weakening of past trends. The research was based on desk research and comparative analysis.
References
Ahsan, M.M. & Sadak, C. (2021). Exploring housing market and urban densification during COVID-19 in Turkey. Journal of Urban Management, 10(3): 218-229. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jum.2021.06.002.
Allen-Coghlan, M. & McQuinn, K.M. (2021). The potential impact of Covid-19 on the Irish housing sector. International Journal of Housing Markets and Analysis, 14(4): 636-651. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1108/IJHMA-05-2020-0065.
Alves, P. & San Juan, L. (2021). The impact of the COVID-19 health crisis on the housing market in Spain. Analitycal Articles – Economic Bulletin, 2: 1-14. Available at: https://www.bde.es/f/webbde/SES/Secciones/Publicaciones/InformesBoletinesRevistas/ArticulosAnaliticos/21/T2/Files/be2102-art16e.pdf (Accessed 17 February 2022).
Baum, A. (2009). Commercial real estate investment, 165-204. Taylor & Francis.
Burchard-Dziubińska, M., Bartosiewicz, B. & Napierała T. (eds.) (2016). Strategia rozwoju Łódzkiego Obszaru Metropolitalnego 2020+ (Development strategy of the Łódź Metropolitan Area 2020+ - in Polish).. Available at: http://lom.lodz.pl/wp-content/uploads/Strategia-Rozwoju-ŁOM-2020-_-24.03.20161.pdf (Accessed 5 July 2021).
Camerer, C. (1998). Bounded rationality in individual decision making. Experimental economics, 1(2): 163-183. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1023/A:1009944326196.
Chmielewski, T.J., Śleszyński, P., Chmielewski, S. & Kułak, A. (2018). Ekologiczne i fizjonomiczne koszty bezładu przestrzennego (Ecological and physiognomic costs of spatial disorder – in Polish). IGiPZ PAN.
Cohen, M.J. (2020). Does the COVID-19 outbreak mark the onset of a sustainable consumption transition? Sustainability: Science, Practice and Policy, 16(1): 1-3. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1080/15487733.2020.1740472.
D’alessandro, D., Gola, M., Appolloni, L., Dettori, M., Fara, G.M., Rebecchi, A., Settimo, G. & Capolongo, S. (2020). COVID-19 and living space challenge. Well-being and public health recommendations for a healthy, safe, and sustainable housing. Acta Bio Medica: Atenei Parmensis, 91(9): 61-75. DOI: https://doi.org/10.23750/abm.v91i9-S.10115.
De Toro, P., Nocca, F. & Buglione, F. (2021). Real Estate Market Responses to the COVID-19 Crisis: Which Prospects for the Metropolitan Area of Naples (Italy)? Urban Science, 5(1): 23. DOI: https://doi.org/10.3390/urbansci5010023.
Eltarabily, S., & Elghezanwy, D. (2020). Post-pandemic cities-the impact of COVID-19 on cities and urban design. Architecture Research, 10(3): 75-84. DOI: https://doi.org/10.5923/j.arch.20201003.02.
Gałka, J. & Warych-Juras, A. (2018). Suburbanization and migration in Polish metropolitan areas during political transition. Acta geographica Slovenica, 58(2): 63–72. DOI: https://doi.org/10.3986/AGS.2256.
Gigerenzer, G. (2004). Fast and frugal heuristics: The tools of bounded rationality. Blackwell handbook of judgment and decision making, 62-88, Blackwell Publishing. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1002/9780470752937.ch4.
Gorzym-Wilkowski, W.A. (2017). Spatial planning as a tool for sustainable development. Polish realities. Barometr Regionalny. Analizy i Prognozy, 15(2): 75-85. Available at: http://br.wszia.edu.pl/zeszyty/pdfs/br48_07gorzym.pdf (Accessed 17 February 2022).
Haase, A., Rink, D., Grossmann, K., Bernt, M. & Mykhnenko, V. (2014). Conceptualizing urban shrinkage. Environment and Planning A, 46(7): 1519-1534. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1068/a46269.
Hague, P. (2006), A Practical Guide to Market Research, Surrey, 59-74, Grosvenor House Publishing. Available at: https://www.b2binternational.com/assets/ebooks/mr_guide/practical-guide-to-market-research_full.pdf (Accessed 17 February 2022).
Havel, M.B. (2017). How the distribution of rights and liabilities in relation to betterment and compensation links with planning and the nature of property rights: Reflections on the Polish experience. Land Use Policy, 67: 508-516. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.landusepol.2017.06.032
Hipwood, T. (2020). Coronavirus: an architect on how the pandemic could change our homes forever. The Conversation. Available at: http://nrl.northumbria.ac.uk/id/eprint/45338/ (Accessed 5 July 2021).
Holm, A., Marcińczak, S. & Ogrodowczyk, A. (2015). New-build gentrification in the post-socialist city: Łódź and Leipzig two decades after socialism. Geografie, 120(2): 164-187. DOI: https://doi.org/10.37040/geografie2015120020164
Izdebski, H., Nelicki, A. & Zachariasz, I. (2007). Zagospodarowanie przestrzenne. Polskie prawo na tle standardów demokratycznego państwa prawnego (Spatial development. Polish law against the background of the standards of a democratic state ruled by law – in Polish), Ernst & Young, Warszawa.
Johnston M.P. (2014). Secondary Data Analysis: A Method of which the Time Has Come. Qualitative and Quantitative Methods in Libraries (QQML), 3: 619-626.
Jones, B.D. (2001). Politics and the architecture of choice: Bounded rationality and governance. University of Chicago Press.
Kazimierczak, J. & Kosmowski, P. (2017). In the shadow of the urban regeneration megaproject: Urban transitions in downtown Lodz, Poland. Urban Development Issues, 56: 41–52. DOI: https://doi.org/10.2478/udi-2018-0011.
Kazimierczak, J. & Szafrańska, E. (2019). Demographic and morphological shrinkage of urban neighbourhoods in a post-socialist city: the case of Łódź, Poland. Geografiska Annaler: Series B, Human Geography, 101(2): 138-163. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1080/04353684.2019.1582304.
Kowalewski, A., Mordasewicz, J., Osiatyński, J., Regulski, J., Stępień, J. & Śleszyński, P. (2013). Raport o ekonomicznych stratach i społecznych kosztach niekontrolowanej urbanizacji w Polsce. Fundacja Rozwoju Demokracji Lokalnej (Report on the economic losses and social costs of uncontrolled urbanization in Poland – in Polish), IGiPZ PAN, Warszawa. Available at: https://frdl.org.pl/static/upload/store/import/pliki/frdl/document/zalaczniki_artykuly/Raport_Ekonomiczny_29.10.2013_calosc.pdf (Accessed 17 February 2022).
Kucharska-Stasiak, E. (2016). Ekonomiczny wymiar nieruchomości (The economic dimension of the real estate – in Polish). Warszawa: PWN.
Leach, M., MacGregor, H., Scoones, I. & Wilkinson, A. (2021). Post-pandemic transformations: How and why COVID-19 requires us to rethink development. World Development, 138: 105233. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.worlddev.2020.105233.
LOG (Lodzki Osrodek Geodezji) (2021) Raport Obrót niezabudowanymi działkami gruntu w Łodzi 2020, Lodz 2021 (Trade of undeveloped plots of land in Łódź 2020 – in Polish). Available at: https://www.log.lodz.pl/modgikwww/LinkClick.aspx?fileticket=cA_JGi2wV0A%3D&tabid=1263 (Accessed 17 February 2022)
Marcato, G. & Nanda, A. (2016). Information content and forecasting ability of sentiment indicators: case of real estate market. Journal of Real Estate Research, 38(2): 165-204. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1080/10835547.2016.12091442.
Matysiak, G., Łaszek, J., Olszewski, K. & Leszczyński, R. (2021). New Housing Construction in Poland and Regional Differences in Its Determinants. In Łaszek, J., Olszewski, K., Sobiecki, R., (ed). Real Estate at Exposure: New Challenges, Old Problems, SGH Publishing House. Available at: https://ssl-kolegia.sgh.waw.pl/pl/KNoP/struktura/IRiK/publikacje/Documents/099_III_6_Matysiak_.pdf (Accessed 17 February 2022)
Megahed, N.A. & Ghoneim, E.M. (2020). Antivirus-built environment: Lessons learned from Covid-19 pandemic. Sustainable Cities and Society, 61: 102350. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scs.2020.102350.
Murszał, T. (2017), Łódź Metropolitan Area: Delimitation, Planning and Development. Geographia Polonica, 90(3): 281-300. DOI: https://doi.org/10.7163/GPol.0096.
NBP (2021). Informacja o cenach mieszkań i sytuacji na rynku nieruchomości mieszkaniowych i komercyjnych w Polsce w I kwartale 2021 r. (Information on dwelling prices and the situation in the residential and commercial real estate market in Poland in the first quarter of 2021 – in Polish), Warszawa.
Ney, B. (2011). Ocena systemu planowania przestrzennego w Polsce oraz sugestie jego poprawy (Assessment of the spatial planning system in Poland and suggestions for its improvement – in Polish). Studia KPZK, 142: 22-26. Available at: https://journals.pan.pl/dlibra/publication/111398/edition/96670/content (Accessed 17 February 2022)
Nowak, M.J. & Załęczna, M. (2021). Kultura planistyczna jako kryterium klasyfikacji problemów systemu gospodarki przestrzennej w Polsce (Planning culture as a criterion for classifying the problems of the spatial management system in Poland – in Polish). Studia Prawno-Ekonomiczne, 118: 265-282. DOI: https://doi.org/10.26485/SPE/2021/118/14.
Parysek J. (2016). Pytania o przyszłość gospodarki przestrzennej w Polsce (Po 13 latach obowiązywania regulacji prawnych z 2003 r.) (Questions about the future of spatial management in Poland (After 13 years of legal regulations in 2003) – in Polish). Ruch Prawniczy, Ekologiczny i Socjologiczny, (78)2: 37-58. DOI: https://doi.org/10.14746/rpeis.2016.78.2.5.
Peters, T. & Halleran, A. (2020). How our homes impact our health: using a COVID-19 informed approach to examine urban apartment housing. Archnet-IJAR. International Journal of Architectural Research, 15(1): 10-27. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1108/ARCH-08-2020-0159.
Pickvance, Ch. (2001). Four Varieties of Camparative Analysis. Journal Of Housing and the Built Environment, 16: 7-28. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1023/A:1011533211521.
Strategia Przestrzennego Rozwoju Lodzi 2020+ (2013). Uchwała Rady Miejskiej w Lodzi LV/1146/13 z dn. 16 stycznia 2013 roku (Łódź Spatial Development Strategy 2020+ - in Polish).
Szafrańska, E., de Lille, L.C. & Kazimierczak, J. (2019). Urban shrinkage and housing in a post-socialist city: relationship between the demographic evolution and housing development in Łódź, Poland. Journal of Housing and the Built Environment, 34(2): 441-464. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10901-018-9633-2.
Szpakowska-Loranc, E. & Matusik, A. (2020). Łódź–Towards a resilient city. Cities, 107: 102936. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.cities.2020.102936.
Śleszyński, P., Kowalewski, A., Markowski, T., Legutko-Kobus, P. & Nowak, M. (2020). The contemporary economic costs of spatial chaos: Evidence from Poland. Land, 9(7): 214. DOI: https://doi.org/10.3390/land9070214.
Swiatkiewicz, A., Połom, M. & Puzdrakiewicz, K. (2021). Changes in the Spatial Development of a Satellite Town under the Impact of a Metropolitan City-Evidence from Pruszcz Gdański (Poland). Land, 10: 800. DOI: https://doi.org/10.3390/land10080800.
Szukalski, P. (2019), Rozwój demograficzny wielkich miast w Polsce na przełomie XX i XXI wieku (Demographic development of large cities in Poland at the turn of the 20th and 21st centuries – in Polish). Demografia i Gerontologia Społeczna – Biuletyn Informacyjny, 12. Available at: https://dspace.uni.lodz.pl/bitstream/handle/11089/32046/2019-12%20Rozw%C3%B3j%20demograficzny%20wielkich%20miast.pdf?sequence=1&isAllowed=y (Accessed 17 February 2022).
Tanrıvermiş, H. (2020). Possible impacts of COVID-19 outbreak on real estate sector and possible changes to adopt: A situation analysis and general assessment on Turkish perspective. Journal of Urban Management, 9(3): 263-269. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jum.2020.08.005.
Turok, I. & Mykhnenko, V. (2007). The trajectories of European cities, 1960–2005. Cities, 24(3): 165–182. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.cities.2007.01.007.
UN-HABITAT. (2016). Goal 11: Make cities inclusive, safe, resilient and sustainable. Available at: http://www.un.org/sustainabledevelopment/cities/ (Accessed 5 July 2021).
Downloads
Published
How to Cite
Issue
Section
License
Copyright (c) 2022 Bulletin of Geography. Socio-economic Series
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 International License.
Title, logo and layout of journal Bulletin of Geography. Socio-economic Series are reserved trademarks of Bulletin of Geography. Socio-economic Series.Stats
Number of views and downloads: 693
Number of citations: 2
