IMPACT OF COVID-19 ON PERFORMANCE ON INDIAN STOCK INDICES: A STUDY FOR NSE COMPOSITE AND SECTORAL INDICES
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.12775/CJFA.2022.022Keywords
COVID-19, volatility, index returns, NSE, sectoral indices, post-COVID-19Abstract
Purpose/Objective: The objective of the paper was to scrutinize the impact of COVID-19 on the performance of composite and sectoral indices of National Stock Exchange (NSE) of India. Methodology and Approach: The study included sample daily closing prices from July 2019 to December 2020 for two composite indices and nine sectoral indices of NSE. The sample was divided into three sub-samples to check the impact before, during and after (after the lockdown was lifted) the pandemic on the volatility of returns. The volatility measures were regressed using a dummy variable for COVID-19. Findings: The results showed that there was an increase in the volatility of returns of the indices during COVID-19 as compared to post-lockdown period. It was also found that the skewness of returns of the indices have become more negative in the post COVID (post-lockdown) period. Practical Implications /Conclusion: The findings of the study have significant implications and impacts regarding the decision making for equity analysts, portfolio management firms, investors and traders for assessing their investment in a better way and deciding their investments. The author believed that these results would magnify the volatility relations.
References
Ahmar, A.S., & del Val, E.B. (2020). SutteARIMA: Short-term forecasting method, a case:C OVID-19 and stock market in Spain. Science of The Total Environment, 729, 138883. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2020.138883.
Akter, N., & Nobi, A. (2018). Investigation of the financial stability of S&P 500 using realized volatility and stock returns distribution. Journal of Risk and Financial Management,11(2), 22. http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/jrfm11020022.
Al-Awadhi, A.M., Al-Saifi, K., Al-Awadhi, A., & Alhamadi, S. (2020). Death and contagious infectious diseases: Impact of the COVID-19 virus on stock market returns. Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Finance, 27, 100326. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jbef.2020.100326.
Albulescu, C.T. (2020). Coronavirus and financial volatility: 40 days of fasting and fear. Working Paper SSRN. http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3550630
Ali, M., Alam, N., & Rizvi, S.A.R. (2020). Coronavirus (COVID-19) – An epidemic or pandemic for financial markets. Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Finance, 27,100341. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jbef.2020.100341.
Aslam, F., Ferreira, P., Mughal, K. S., & Bashir, B. (2021). Intraday volatility spillovers among european financial markets during COVID-19. International Journal of Financial Studies, 9(1), 1–19. http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/ijfs9010005.
Baker, S., Bloom, N., Davis, S.J., Kost, K., Sammon, M., & Viratyosin, T. (2020). The unprecedented stock market reaction to COVID-19. Hoover Institution Economics Working Paper, 20112, 1–22. https://www.hoover.org/sites/default/files/research/docs/20112-davis.pdf.
Brown, M.R., & Smith, R.D. (2008). The economic impact of SARS: How does the realitymatch the predictions?. Health Policy, 88(1), 110–120. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.healthpol.2008.03.003.
Chaudhary, R., Bakhshi, P., & Gupta, H. (2020). The performance of the Indian stock market during COVID-19. Investment Management and Financial Innovations, 17(3), 133–147. http://dx.doi.org/10.21511/imfi.17(3).2020.11.
Chen, M.-H., Jang, S., & Kim, W.G. (2007). The impact of the SARS outbreak on Taiwanese hotel stock performance: An event-study approach. International Journal of Hospitality Management, 26(1), 200–212.
David, S.A., Inácio, C.M.C., & Tenreiro Machado, J.A. (2021). The recovery of global stock markets indices after impacts due to pandemics. Research in International Business and Finance, 55, 101335. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.ribaf.2020.101335.
Del Giudice, A., & Paltrinieri, A. (2017). The impact of the Arab spring and the Ebola outbreak on African equity mutual fund investor decisions. Research in International Business & Finance, 41, 600–612.
Fernandes, N. (2020). Economic effects of coronavirus outbreak (COVID-19) on the world economy. Barcelona: IESE Business School. https://edisciplinas.usp.br/pluginfile.php/5662406/mod_resource/content/1/FERNANDES_Economic%20Effects%20of%20Coronavirus%20Outbreak%20%28COVID19%29%20on%20the%20World%20Economy.pdf.
Goodell, J.W. (2020). COVID-19 and finance: Agendas for future research. Finance Research Letters, 35, 101512. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.frl.2020.101512.
Harif, A., Aloui, C., & Yarovaya, L. (2020). COVID-19 Pandemic, Oil Prices, Stock Market and Policy Uncertainty Nexus in the US Economy: Fresh Evidence from the Wavelet-Based Approach. International Review of Financial Analysis, 70(C). http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3574699.
Izzeldin, M., Muradoğlu, Y.G., Pappas, V., & Sivaprasad, S. (2021). The impact of COVID-19 on G7 stock markets volatility: Evidence from a ST-HAR model. International Review of Financial Analysis, 74, 101671. https://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.irfa.2021.101671.
Kartal, M.T., Depren, Ö., & Kılıç Depren, S. (2020). The Determinants of Main Stock Exchange Index Changes in Emerging Countries: Evidence from Turkey in COVID-19 Pandemic Age. Quantitative Finance and Economics, 4(4), 526–541. https://doi.org/10.3934/qfe.2020025.
Li, K. (2018). Reaction to news in the Chinese stock market: A study on Xiong’an new area strategy. Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Finance, 19, 36–38. https://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jbef.2018.03.004.
Liu, H., Manzoor, A., Wang, C., Zhang, L., & Manzoor, Z. (2020). The COVID-19 Outbreak and Affected Countries Stock Markets Response. International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health, 17(8), 2800. https://dx.doi.org/10.3390/ijerph17082800.
Loh, E. (2006). The impact of SARS on the performance and risk profile of airline stocks. International Journal of Transport Economics, 33(3), 401–422.
Mazur, M., Dang, M., & Vega, M. (2020). COVID-19 and the march 2020 stock market crash. Evidence from S&P1500. Finance Research Letters, 38(1), 101690. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.frl.2020.101690.
Mishra, P.K., & Mishra, S.K. (2020). Corona Pandemic and Stock Market Behaviour: Empirical Insights from Selected Asian Countries. Millennial Asia, 11(3), 341–365. http://dx.doi.org/10.1177/0976399620952354.
Nageri, K.I. (2019). Evaluating volatility persistence of stock return in the pre and post 2008-2009 financial meltdown. Copernican Journal of Finance & Accounting, 8(3),75–94. http://dx.doi.org/10.12775/CJFA.2019.013.
Okorie, D.I., & Lin, B. (2021). Stock markets and the COVID-19 fractal contagion effects. Finance Research Letters, 38, 101640. http:/dx./doi.org/10.1016/j.frl.2020.101640.
Pendell, D.L., & Cho, C. (2013). Stock market reactions to contagious animal disease outbreaks: An event study in Korean foot‐and‐mouth disease outbreak. Agribusiness, 29(4), 455–468.
Phan, D., & Narayan, P. (2020). Country Responses and the Reaction of the Stock Market to COVID-19: a Preliminary Exposition. Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, 56(10), 2138–2150. http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/1540496X.2020.1784719.
Siddiqui, T.A., Ahmed, H., & Naushad, M. (2020). Diffusion of COVID-19 impact across selected stock markets: a wavelet coherency analysis. Investment Management and Financial Innovations, 17(4), 202–214. http://dx.doi.org/10.21511/imfi.17(4).2020.19.
Singh, B., Dhall, R., Narang, S., & Rawat, S. (2020). The Outbreak of COVID-19 and Stock Market Responses: An Event Study and Panel Data Analysis for G-20 Countries. Global Business Review. http://dx.doi.org/10.1177/0972150920957274.
Topcu, M., & Gulal, O.S. (2020). The impact of COVID-19 on emerging stock markets. Finance Research Letters, 36, 101691. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.frl.2020.101691.
Wang, L., & Kutan, A.M. (2013). The impact of natural disasters on stock markets: Evidence from Japan and the US. Comparative Economic Studies, 55(4), 672–686.
Yousef, I. (2020). The Impact of Coronavirus on Stock Market Volatility. International Journal of Psychosocial Rehabilitation, 24(6), 18069–18081. http://dx.doi.org/10.37200/IJPR/V24I6/PR261476.
Zaremba, A., Kizys, R., Aharon, D.Y., & Demir, E. (2020). Infected Markets: Novel Coronavirus, Government Interventions, and Stock Return Volatility around the Globe. Finance Research Letters, 35, 101597. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.frl.2020.101597.
Zhang, D., Hu, M., & Ji, Q. (2020). Financial markets under the global pandemic ofCOVID-19. Finance Research Letters, 36, 101528. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.frl.2020.101528.
Downloads
Published
How to Cite
Issue
Section
License
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NoDerivatives 4.0 International License.
Stats
Number of views and downloads: 1189
Number of citations: 0