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Dynamic Econometric Models

Bayesian Optimal Portfolio Selection in the MSF-SBEKK Model
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Bayesian Optimal Portfolio Selection in the MSF-SBEKK Model

Authors

  • Anna Pajor Cracow University of Economics

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.12775/DEM.2011.003

Keywords

portfolio analysis, MSV models, MSF-SBEKK

Abstract

The aim of this paper is to investigate the predictive properties of the MSF-Scalar BEKK(1,1) model in context of portfolio optimization. The MSF-SBEKK model has been proposed as a feasible tool for analyzing multidimensional financial data (large n), but this research examines forecasting abilities of this model for n = 2, since for bivariate data we can obtain and compare predictive distributions of the portfolio in many other multivariate SV specifications. Also, approximate posterior results in the MSF-SBEKK model (based on preliminary estimates of nuisance matrix parameters) are compared with the exact ones.

 

References

Aguilar, O., West, M. (2000), Bayesian Dynamic Factor Models and Portfolio Allocation, Journal of Business and Economic Statistics, 18, 338–357.

Elton, J.E., Gruber, M.J. (1991), Modern Portfolio Theory and Investment Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, Inc, New York.

Markowitz, H.M. (1959), Portfolio Selection: Efficient Diversification of Investments, New York, John Wiely & Sons, Inc.

Newton, M.A., Raftery, A.E. (1994), Approximate Bayesian Inference by the Weighted Likelihood Bootstrap [with discussion], Journal of the Royal Statistical Society B, 56(1), 3–48.

Osiewalski, J. (2009), New Hybrid Models of Multivariate Volatility (a Bayesian Perspective), Przegląd Statystyczny (Statistical Review), 56, z. 1, 15–22.

Osiewalski, J., Pajor, A. (2007), Flexibility and Parsimony in Multivariate Financial Modelling: a Hybrid Bivariate DCC–SV Model, [in:] Financial Markets. Principles of Modeling, Forecasting and Decision-Making (FindEcon Monograph Series No.3), [ed.:] W. Milo, P. Wdowiński, Łódź University Press, Łódź, 11–26.

Osiewalski, J., Pajor, A. (2009), Bayesian Analysis for Hybrid MSF–SBEKK Models of Multivariate Volatility, Central European Journal of Economic Modelling and Econometrics, 1(2), 179–202.

Pajor, A. (2009), Bayesian Portfolio Selection with MSV Models, Przegląd Statystyczny (Statistical Review), 56, z. 1, 40–55.

Dynamic Econometric Models

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Published

2011-12-10

How to Cite

1.
PAJOR, Anna. Bayesian Optimal Portfolio Selection in the MSF-SBEKK Model. Dynamic Econometric Models. Online. 10 December 2011. Vol. 11, pp. 41-54. [Accessed 23 January 2026]. DOI 10.12775/DEM.2011.003.
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Issue

Vol. 11 (2011)

Section

Articles

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The journal provides an Open Access to its content based on the non-exclusive licence Creative Commons (CC BY-ND 4.0).

To enable the publisher to disseminate the author's work to the fullest extent, the author must agrees to the terms and conditions of the License Agreement with Nicolaus Copernicus University.

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