METHODS FOR THE DESIGN OF CLIMATE CHANGE SCENARIO IN SLOVAKIA FOR THE 21ST CENTURY

Marian Melo, Milan Lapin, Ingrid Damborska

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.2478/2296

Abstract


In this paper methods of climate-change scenario projection in Slovakia for the 21st century are outlined. Temperature and precipitation time series of the Hurbanovo Observatory in 1871–2007 (Slovak Hydrometeorological Institute) and data from four global GCMs (GISS 1998, CGCM1, CGCM2, HadCM3) are utilized for the design of climate change scenarios. Selected results of different climate change scenarios (based on different methods) for the region of Slovakia (up to 2100) are presented. The increase in annual mean temperature is about 3°C, though the results are ambiguous in the case of precipitation. These scenarios are required by users in impact studies, mainly from the hydrology, agriculture and forestry sectors.


Keywords


trends; climate change; climate scenarios; Slovakia

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References


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